Xavi's Breakthrough 10 Gig For $53 in Switzerland. Believe It!

Salt 10 Gig 53Xavier Niel's Salt is offering 10 gigabits to 1.3M Swiss homes for 50 Swiss francs, less than Verizon wants for 50 megabits. Salt includes an Apple 4K TV in lieu of a set-top, 300 TV channels, and unlimited. He will probably bring similar to other companies he owns: Free in France & Italy, Eir, and Singapore. 

His 30 euro triple play in France changed everything in Europe and made Xavi a multi-billionaire. Now, many of those lines are gigabit fiber.  He makes more money per customer on the 10 gig for 50 Swiss francs

The numbers suggest any large company with competition should be going for 10 gig rather than 1 gig GPON. 

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10 Gig: $100 in Japan, Smart City Adelaide

10 gig to the home costs between $4/month (efficient high volume) and $10/month more than 1 gig GPON, I estimate. Respected analyst Julie Kunstler accuses America of dozing while the Sony & KDDI are now selling 10 gig service for less than $100/month. (Fierce) If anyone wants to buy 10 gig at $100, KDDI would net a little more than if they were selling a gig for $75.The equipment and bandwidth for 10 gig are now cheap enough that it's affordable anywhere there is fiber and a good use for the speed.

I very rarely wish I had more than the 100 meg down I have although a better upstream would be very welcome. (Jennie does video.) 10 gig is about enough to serve every apartment in Jennie's 20 story building. It's enough for 30 4K camera raw outputs or about 600 4K video streams.

Adelaide has a more practical plan: The city is building 10 gig to 1,000 buildings in the central business district and major commercial strips. They expect to finish in two years. I'd bet 95+% of Adelaide businesses would rarely draw more than 1 gig, although that could change in the future. However, the cost to build to 10 gig is low enough that it pays off even at a low take rate. 

It's a smart move for Adelaide and I'd recommend it to other cities with commercial buildings without fiber. It pays off directly if the high speeds draw even a handful of businesses. Unlike Smart City manifestos, the high speeds for businesses are more than pr.

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272M Fiber Connections in China: The Most Remarkable Achievement in My 20 Years of reporting

Chinese Dragon by Anna FrodesiakJun Zhang, deputy chief engineer of China Telecom Shanghai., was surprised when this New York reporter called him and his colleagues heroes. They have connected directly to fiber more than 272M homes, twice as much as the entire rest of the world. 

There are well over 300M homes passed. 92% of urban homes are covered by fiber. Cities like Shanghai are close to 100% covered. Nearly all the fiber build was done in five years. Prices are relatively low. I am not blind to the authoritarian Chinese state, but I can also admire the achievements. 

LTE is approaching 1 billion users, with speeds constantly increasing. China Mobile is among the top four in 5G mmWave plans and the second to embrace Massive MIMO. 

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50G & 100G Ethernet for Backhaul

50G ConsortiumHuawei has delivered a testable 50G unit to China Mobile and passed testing at the European Advanced Networking Test Center.

They also offer a 100 gigabit unit with four 25 gigabit devices. A 2 x 50G unit is planned that will be air-cooled.

Verizon has chosen 40 gigabit NG-PON2 for small cell backhaul, but most other carriers are choosing ten gigabits. Verizon has been testing NGPON2 from Calix and Adtran for a year and is now deploying hundreds of 5G small cells.

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Algeria Fibering 1M. Fiber Ain't Dead

The Monument of the Martyrs Maquam EchahidAT&T is fibering 3M homes/year. Telefonica doing millions in Brazil and most of Spain. France Telecom is well along and nearly all of Portugal covered. Bell Canada recently decided to speed up fiber because cable was killing them. 

After a year of political wrangling, state-owned Algérie Telecom has signed a contract with Huawei and is ready to go. The initial contract is 1M homes servable, with a plan to go to 3M. Wireless networks spread incredibly rapidly and now fiber (mostly backbone) is also building.

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Is Google Go-Long the Future of Fiber Home?

Cedric Lam on Oct 26 will unveil Go-Long. Google thinks "this new standard can reduce the network operating costs and investment costs." The only information is the press release, 

Go-Long is the company's new generation of optical access networks. Described by Google as a new Time and Wavelength Division Multiplexed Super PON (TWDM Super PON), the company believes that this new standard can reduce the network operating costs and investment costs. The company claims that the technology can do this by extending the transmission distance, which can reduce the number of central offices that need to deploy the optical line termination (OLT), significantly reducing equipment, space and power costs.

In other words, they ain't saying anything until the announcement at BBWF. 

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All Rome To Be Fibered By Government Electric Company

La Dolce Vita 1960 film coverartPublicly owned electric/water utility Acea and government-controlled Enel Open Fiber have apparently reached a deal to bring fiber to every home in Rome in the next few years. By using publicly owned facilities in place, they expect to keep the cost under $400/home.

That figure is about 80% less than Australia's NBN is spending, and probably 30-50% less than AT&T is spending as they fiber 3M homes/year. On the other hand, Telefonica tells me their cost to fiber a home in Spain is similar to $400.

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Cuts at Google Fiber: No one switching, wireless and cable going to a gig

google fiber rabbitIf cable/DSL is good, people won't switch. Kevin McLaughlin's article is unconfirmed but makes sense. Update Someone who knows thinks this is false. The analysis stands whether or not there are cuts today.End update.

 I have 200/20 cable; Jennie 50/50 fiber. Both are rock solid and uncongested. For most people that's fine and Google's gigabit isn't worth switching for. Reported result: Cost per new customer blows out the economics. Fiber needs to win ?30% to 50% of the market. That's hard if the existing carriers aren't so bad. LTE by the end of this year will be at a gigabit, (shared) with more antennas likely to allow servicing more fixed customers.

LTE by the end of this year will be at a gigabit, (shared.) Many antenna MIMO will allow servicing more fixed customers even before 5G is ready. Comcast and Cox are promising a gigabit (shared) to half the country within two years.

People hate to switch.

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