Xavier Niel smilingXavier Niel's Free Mobile offers a 100-gigabyte cap on their 20 euro service, which Jennie bought in Paris. For 20 euros, Telecom Italia offers 5-10  gigabytes. With Free soon to turn on Italy's fourth network, competitor Fastweb brought down prices to compete. In Canada, all three carriers brought prices down before the fourth entered so I expect TI and Vodafone to also adjust prices.

Xavi changed the European Internet when he offered triple play in France for 30 euros. Germany's regulator, Mathias Kurth, told me he pressed his companies to come closer to France's price. The lower mobile prices are slowly spreading to other countries. T-Mobile Netherlands recently went "unlimited" although DT hasn't done that in that in Germany, which recently went from 4 to 3 carriers. 

The anecdotal evidence is strong that prices move 10-20% when a market goes from 4-3 or 3-4 primary carriers.

That was a key reason the U.S. blocked the AT&T takeover of T-Mobile USA. The regulatory approval of a T-Mobile-Sprint deal would be uncertain. 

Iliad has 70 people working in Italy and has budgeted $B to become the fourth mobile carrier in Italy. Iliad has a "10,000km fibre backhaul network, has deployed its core network, set-up roaming, and negotiated interconnection contracts."

Like Ambani's Reliance Jio in India, Xavi is building a state-of-the-art network with costs much lower than the existing players. Vittorio Colao of Vodafone knows he'll have to respond. "When you have a big warship and the pirates are approaching, it makes sense to send out the commandos in the speed boats.” 

With government-backed Open Fiber also building, Italy will eventually catch up to Europe.


April 18

“My three biggest customers are marching to 7 and 5 nanometers.” Lip-Bu Tan. Moore’s Law ain’t dead yet.

Eric Xu, current Huawei Chairman, said consumers would find no “material difference between 4G & 5G.” Dozens of top engineers agree the "5G Revolution" is hokum, including  DT CTO Bruno Jacobfeuerborn, FT/Orange SVP Arnaud Vamparys, and BT CEO Gavin Patterson.
     Politicians and marketers pushed b_______. What’s coming for 5-10 years is good for telco capacity but otherwise disappointing. Unfortunately. 
     On the other hand, mmWave & Massive MIMO are improving at a ferocious rate, advancing telco capacity enormously. Massive MIMO has made it practical to use 3.5 GHz frequencies, a second remarkable booster. The "5G Revolution" is dead; Long Live the real 5G and advanced wireless!
U.S. attacks on Huawei and ZTE look to be an historic disaster.

China’s logical response is to invest to become independent of the U.S. They already have $100B on the table for memory chips and are rumored to add another $100B. Huawei/HiSilicon already holds their own against Qualcomm and everyone else in the world. 
    Zeng Xuezhong of Spreadtrum, world #3 mobile chipmaker, confirms: China will “speed up the chip R&D investment that is self-controlled and self-researched. We must never forget to make it bigger and stronger.”
     U.S. warships patrolling China’s seas inspire security fears. So does Trump’s threat to a country on China’s border."Military solutions are now fully in place, locked and loaded, [for] fire, fury and frankly power, the likes of which the world has never seen before.”
     China would be stupid not to have domestic capacity just in case. The Chinese leadership is not stupid.
The year's best wireless conference is next week. Ted Rappaport, Sandeep Rangan and colleagues bring the world's best engineers to the Brooklyn 5G Conference Summit. This year, Paulraj, Onoe, Fettweis, Katabi, and their peers are coming. Do not miss the webcast, http://bit.ly/2HuOKqW .

April 10

A special report: Who Are The Three Billion? The Color Of The Net Has Changed http://bit.ly/netcolor
1/3rd wireless only, 2/3rds in Global South, 75% not native English speakers.